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China · Super League

04 Jul 2026 11:00 UTC

QINGDAO WEST COAST vs SHANGHAI PORT

Final 2:1

Qingdao West Coast won Last goal: Shanghai Port

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Zhang Yuan II (straight red) — Shanghai Port

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nelson da Luz — Qingdao West Coast
  2. ⚽ Davidson — Qingdao West Coast
  3. ⚽ Matthew Orr — Shanghai Port

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Shanghai Port
90-minute result: Qingdao West Coast
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 273 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 330 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
251 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
190 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
166 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 4.5 19% (Weak)
48 predictions

Match overview