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Brazil · Serie B

02 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

CUIABA vs AMERICA MG

Final 1:0

Cuiaba won Last goal: Cuiaba

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aiyran Vieira — Cuiaba

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Cuiaba
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
21%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 176 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 405 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 485 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 95 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
Score 21% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
179 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
218 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
295 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
361 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
442 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
474 predictions

Match overview