← Back to matches

Finland · Cup

30 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

VPS vs FC INTER TURKU

Final 2:3

FC Inter Turku won Last goal: VPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martti Haukioja (penalty) — VPS

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jasse Tuominen — FC Inter Turku
  2. ⚽ Henri Salomaa — FC Inter Turku
  3. ⚽ Alie Conteh — FC Inter Turku
  4. ⚽ Martti Haukioja (penalty) — VPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
FC Inter Turku
90-minute result: FC Inter Turku
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 70 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 97 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 11 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 27% (Weak)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
79 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
48 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
82 predictions

Match overview