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Finland · Cup

10 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

ILVES vs FC LAHTI

Final 5:2

Ilves won Last goal: Ilves

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maksim Stjopin — Ilves
  2. ⚽ Maksim Stjopin — Ilves
  3. ⚽ Kalle Wallius — Ilves
  4. ⚽ Erik Andersson — FC Lahti
  5. ⚽ Erik Andersson — FC Lahti
  6. ⚽ Maksim Stjopin — Ilves
  7. 🟥 Martim Ferreira (straight red) — FC Lahti

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jardell Kanga — Ilves
  2. 🟥 Stanislav Baranov (2nd yellow) — Ilves

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Ilves
90-minute result: Ilves
Off target
66%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 15% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 67 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 38 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 55% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
26 predictions
Both teams to score 77% (Strong)
13 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
30 predictions
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
22 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
31 predictions

Match overview