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Tanzania · Premier League

30 Jun 2026 13:00 UTC

FOUNTAIN GATE FC vs SINGIDA BLACK STARS

Final 4:3

Fountain Gate FC won Last goal: Singida Black Stars

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Henry David — Fountain Gate FC
  2. ⚽ Mossi Nduwumwe — Singida Black Stars
  3. ⚽ Mossi Nduwumwe — Singida Black Stars
  4. ⚽ Chukwunonye Obasi — Fountain Gate FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hashimu Kindemile — Fountain Gate FC
  2. ⚽ Hashimu Kindemile — Fountain Gate FC
  3. ⚽ Mossi Nduwumwe — Singida Black Stars

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Fountain Gate FC
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 89 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 274 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
89 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
175 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
191 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
257 predictions

Match overview