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Tanzania · Premier League

30 Jun 2026 13:00 UTC

COASTAL UNION vs PAMBA JIJI

Final 2:1

Coastal Union won Last goal: Pamba Jiji

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Maabad Maulid Maabad — Coastal Union

2nd half

  1. Maabad Maulid Maabad — Coastal Union
  2. Shasiri Nahimana — Pamba Jiji

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
18%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 71% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 274 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
175 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
83 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 4.5 24% (Weak)
17 predictions

Match overview