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South Korea · K3 League

21 Jun 2026 09:00 UTC

POCHEON CITIZEN FC vs GANGNEUNG CITY

Final 3:1

Pocheon Citizen FC won Last goal: Pocheon Citizen FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Kim Hyun-Jong — Pocheon Citizen FC

2nd half

  1. Tae-Seong Song — Gangneung City
  2. 🟥 Jeong-Min Son (2nd yellow) — Gangneung City
  3. Jae-Gun Lee — Pocheon Citizen FC
  4. Cheol-hee Lee — Pocheon Citizen FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 245 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 193 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
151 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
157 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
103 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
177 predictions

Match overview