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Tanzania · Premier League

27 Jun 2026 13:00 UTC

SIMBA SC vs SINGIDA BLACK STARS

Final 2:0

Simba SC won Last goal: Simba SC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Elie Mpanzu — Simba SC

2nd half

  1. Anicet Oura — Simba SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 78 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 214 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 266 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
80 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
232 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
250 predictions

Match overview