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Norway · 3. Division · 3. Division Avdeling 3

27 Jun 2026 10:00 UTC

SOGNDAL 2 vs STORD

Final 0:2

Stord won Last goal: Stord

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Oliver Huse — Stord
  2. ⚽ Jonas Habbestad Gjerde — Stord

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Sogndal 2
90-minute result: Stord
Off target
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 290 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,237 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1480 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
1206 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
1000 predictions
Total 1.5 91% (Strong)
1306 predictions
Total 2.5 76% (Strong)
1049 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
727 predictions
Total 4.5 41% (Weak)
451 predictions

Match overview