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Norway · 3. Division · 3. Division Avdeling 6

27 Jun 2026 12:00 UTC

OERN-HORTEN vs SANDEFJORD 2

Final 4:3

Oern-Horten won Last goal: Sandefjord 2

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lars Magnus Takvam — Oern-Horten
  2. ⚽ Vetle Holtung — Sandefjord 2
  3. ⚽ Kristoffer Halvorsen — Sandefjord 2

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lars Magnus Takvam — Oern-Horten
  2. ⚽ Lars Magnus Takvam — Oern-Horten
  3. ⚽ Fredrik Toernby (penalty) — Oern-Horten
  4. ⚽ Kristoffer Halvorsen — Sandefjord 2

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Sandefjord 2
90-minute result: Oern-Horten
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
53%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 136 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,237 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1483 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 46% (Average)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
1208 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
1002 predictions
Total 1.5 91% (Strong)
1309 predictions
Total 2.5 76% (Strong)
1050 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
728 predictions
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
1032 predictions

Match overview