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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Federal A Zona A

15 Jun 2026 21:00 UTC

SPORTIVO BELGRANO vs DEFENSORES DE BELGRANO DE VILLA RAMALLO

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Sportivo Belgrano won Last goal: Sportivo Belgrano

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jonathan Paiz — Sportivo Belgrano

Model predictions were

Nice call
39%
1X2
Sportivo Belgrano
Result: Sportivo Belgrano
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 251 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 995 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 843 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
572 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
495 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
330 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
595 predictions
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
748 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
808 predictions

Match overview

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