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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana

14 Jun 2026 22:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO MERLO vs ARGENTINO DE MERLO

Last goal: Deportivo Merlo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Alan Salvador — Argentino de Merlo
  2. Alan Salvador (penalty) — Argentino de Merlo

2nd half

  1. Ivan Sandoval (penalty) — Deportivo Merlo
  2. Lucas Vallejo — Deportivo Merlo

Model prediction

Weak
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Good
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Strong
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
10%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 267 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 995 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 828 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
267 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
481 predictions
Total 1.5 37% (Weak)
317 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
581 predictions
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
733 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
793 predictions

Match preview