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12 Jun 2026 17:30 UTC

AEGIR vs BREIDABLIK

Final 0:3

Breidablik won Last goal: Breidablik

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Stefan Dabetic (own goal) — Breidablik
⚽ Viktor Einarsson — Breidablik

2nd half

⚽ Ágúst Thorsteinsson — Breidablik

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

Breidablik

Result: Breidablik

53%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

78%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

55%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

67%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 16 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 11 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)

Both teams to score 18% (Weak)

Total 1.5 73% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

Total 4.5 55% (Average)

Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 50% (Average)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 50% (Average)

Total 4.5 50% (Average)

Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)

9 predictions

Both teams to score 29% (Weak)

7 predictions

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

10 predictions

Total 2.5 67% (Strong)

6 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

7 predictions

Total 4.5 75% (Strong)

8 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Aegir vs Breidablik after full time. The match ended 0-3 in Iceland · Cup. The model favored Breidablik with a low-confidence projection (45.3%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 54.6% of matches across a sample of 11 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 50% in a sample of 2 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (78.3%) came in as a strong signal and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (55%) was correctly identified, both teams to score (53.3%) did not match the outcome.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.