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Iceland · Cup

10 Jun 2026 19:30 UTC

AFTURELDING vs STJARNAN

Final 3:1

Afturelding won Last goal: Afturelding

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Heidar Aegisson — Stjarnan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Birkir Sævarsson — Afturelding
  2. ⚽ Bart Kooistra — Afturelding
  3. ⚽ Birkir Sævarsson — Afturelding
  4. 🟥 Oervar Eggertsson (2nd yellow) — Stjarnan

Model predictions were

Nice call
37%
1X2
Afturelding
Result: Afturelding
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 15 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 10 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 20% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
8 predictions
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
3 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
9 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
4 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
6 predictions
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
7 predictions

Match overview

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