AUSTRIA vs GUATEMALA
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
68% (Strong)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
24% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 395 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 309 completed matches.
1X2
48% (Average)
Both teams to score
49% (Average)
Total 1.5
61% (Good)
Total 2.5
51% (Average)
Total 3.5
60% (Good)
Total 4.5
77% (Strong)
Score
9% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 7 past matches
Small sample sizes may be less reliable.
1X2
57% (Good)
Both teams to score
29% (Weak)
Total 1.5
57% (Good)
Total 2.5
71% (Strong)
Total 3.5
43% (Weak)
Total 4.5
57% (Good)
Score
0% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
48% (Average)
237 predictions
Both teams to score
55% (Good)
140 predictions
Total 1.5
71% (Strong)
247 predictions
Total 2.5
51% (Average)
158 predictions
Total 3.5
70% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 4.5
85% (Strong)
277 predictions