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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

10 Jun 2026 21:00 UTC

ENGLAND vs COSTA RICA

Final 3:0

England won Last goal: England

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Declan Rice — England

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Anthony Gordon (penalty) — England
  2. ⚽ Ollie Watkins — England

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
44%
1X2
England
90-minute result: England
No surprise
37%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 95 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 391 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 307 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
236 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
167 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
245 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
156 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
232 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
276 predictions

Match overview