← Back to matches

International · Friendly U-21 · Friendlies U21

09 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

MOLDOVA U21 vs GEORGIA U21

Final 3:2

Moldova U21 won Last goal: Georgia U21

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Mihai Lupan — Moldova U21

2nd half

  1. Vasile Luchita — Moldova U21
  2. Lucian Radu — Moldova U21
  3. Giorgi Kokhreidze — Georgia U21
  4. Rati Grigalava — Georgia U21

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 41 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 15 completed matches.

1X2 73% (Strong)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 73% (Strong)
11 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
8 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
10 predictions
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
8 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
14 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
15 predictions

Match overview