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International · Friendly U-21 · Friendlies U21

06 Jun 2026 15:30 UTC

CROATIA U21 vs IRELAND U21

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Ireland U21

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luka Vrbancic (penalty) — Croatia U21
  2. ⚽ Sam Curtis — Ireland U21

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Seán Grehan (own goal) — Croatia U21
  2. ⚽ Seán Grehan — Ireland U21

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Croatia U21
90-minute result: Draw
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 35 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 14 completed matches.

1X2 80% (Strong)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 80% (Strong)
10 predictions
Both teams to score 29% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
9 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
7 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
13 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
14 predictions

Match overview