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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

07 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

ASCOLI CALCIO 1898 FC vs UNION BRESCIA

Final 3:0

Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC won Last goal: Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andrea Rizzo Pinna — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andrea Silipo — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
  2. ⚽ Tommaso Milanese — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Union Brescia
90-minute result: Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 204 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,148 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1130 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 82 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
783 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
588 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
805 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
428 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
952 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
1060 predictions

Match overview