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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

03 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

UNION BRESCIA vs ASCOLI CALCIO 1898 FC

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Union Brescia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andrea Rizzo Pinna — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
  2. ⚽ Valerio Crespi — Union Brescia

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Union Brescia
Result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 306 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,147 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1129 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
782 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
541 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
324 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
701 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
951 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
1059 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

No prediction yet Notify me when the prediction is ready.
07 Jun 16:00 UTC
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs Union Brescia
1X2 Prediction is being generated.
Both teams to score —
Over/Under
1.5 — 2.5 — 3.5 — 4.5 —
Score — : —
Finished
27 May 19:00 UTC
Catania vs Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 2:1
Almanac Moment
27 May 18:00 UTC
Union Brescia vs Salernitana
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 2:0
Finished
24 May 19:00 UTC
Salernitana vs Union Brescia
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
24 May 18:00 UTC
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs Catania
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 4:0
Finished
20 May 18:45 UTC
Ravenna vs Salernitana
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:2
Finished
20 May 18:30 UTC
Catania vs Lecco
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
Score 3:3
Finished
20 May 18:00 UTC
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs Potenza
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0