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Algeria · Ligue Professionnelle 1 · 1. Division

06 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

MC ORAN vs USM ALGER

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: MC Oran

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Moncef Boutaoui Boutaoui — USM Alger
  2. ⚽ Ilyés Chétti — USM Alger

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Moulay Abdelaziz Abdelkader — MC Oran
  2. ⚽ Bilal Benkhedim — MC Oran

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
USM Alger
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 17% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 234 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 227 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
156 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
137 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 3.5 22% (Weak)
27 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
216 predictions

Match overview