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Algeria · Ligue Professionnelle 1 · 1. Division

04 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

ES BEN AKNOUN vs USM ALGER

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: USM Alger

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Issam Bayoud — USM Alger

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Adil Djabout — ES Ben Aknoun
  2. ⚽ Abderahmane Hachoud — ES Ben Aknoun
  3. ⚽ Ahmed Khaldi — USM Alger

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
USM Alger
Result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 227 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 220 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
132 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
210 predictions

Match overview

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