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Iraq · Super League · Stars League

02 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

ERBIL vs AMANAT BAGHDAD

Final 3:1

Erbil won Last goal: Amanat Baghdad

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ G. Zhyar — Erbil
  2. ⚽ Christopher John — Erbil
  3. ⚽ Christopher John — Erbil
  4. ⚽ Jabar Kareem — Amanat Baghdad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Erbil
90-minute result: Erbil
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 115 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 399 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 327 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
240 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
154 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
224 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
119 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
298 predictions

Match overview