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Iraq · Super League · Stars League

01 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

DIYALA vs DUHOK

Final 1:0

Diyala won Last goal: Diyala

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Muntadher Abdulsada — Diyala

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Diyala
90-minute result: Diyala
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 112 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 394 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 322 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 89% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
236 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
151 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
221 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 7% (Weak)
27 predictions

Match overview