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31 May 2026 16:30 UTC

DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA vs LAS PALMAS

Final 1:2

Las Palmas won Last goal: Las Palmas

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Kirian Rodríguez — Las Palmas
⚽ Marvin Park — Las Palmas
⚽ Zakaria Eddahchouri — Deportivo La Coruna

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Las Palmas

Result: Las Palmas

48%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

55%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

71%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

13%

Score

0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 458 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 444 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)

Both teams to score 56% (Good)

Total 1.5 71% (Strong)

Total 2.5 65% (Strong)

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)

326 predictions

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

192 predictions

Total 1.5 73% (Strong)

321 predictions

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

244 predictions

Total 3.5 74% (Strong)

345 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

405 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas. The match ended 1-2 in Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2. Pre-match projections pointed to Las Palmas with a weak indicator at 36.6%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) appeared as a strong signal and aligned with the result.

Over 2.5 goals (55%) appeared as a low-confidence signal and did not land, both teams to score (48.2%) fell short of the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.1% of matches across a sample of 444 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 56.3% in a sample of 80 team involvements.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA vs LAS PALMAS

Match timeline

1st half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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