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31 May 2026 07:30 UTC

HWASEONG FC vs GYEONGNAM FC

Final 2:0

Hwaseong FC won Last goal: Hwaseong FC

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Kyeong-Min Park — Hwaseong FC

2nd half

⚽ Demethryus — Hwaseong FC

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Hwaseong FC

Result: Hwaseong FC

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

31%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

11%

Score

3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 297 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 250 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)

Both teams to score 53% (Average)

Total 1.5 63% (Good)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)

Both teams to score 44% (Weak)

Total 1.5 56% (Good)

Total 2.5 42% (Weak)

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)

184 predictions

Both teams to score 56% (Good)

142 predictions

Total 1.5 70% (Strong)

196 predictions

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

130 predictions

Total 3.5 32% (Weak)

57 predictions

Total 4.5 85% (Strong)

227 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Hwaseong FC vs Gyeongnam FC. The match ended 2-0 in South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2. The model leaned toward Hwaseong FC with a marginal edge (39.3%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78% of matches across a sample of 250 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 43.8% in a sample of 64 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) appeared as a clear statistical edge and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) was not confirmed, both teams to score (56.7%) did not match the outcome.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

HWASEONG FC vs GYEONGNAM FC

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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