← Back to matches

30 May 2026 07:30 UTC

CHUNGNAM ASAN FC vs SUWON SAMSUNG BLUEWINGS

Final 2:1

Chungnam Asan FC won Last goal: Suwon Samsung Bluewings

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Si-Hoo Park — Chungnam Asan FC
⚽ Jose Denisson — Chungnam Asan FC
⚽ Reis — Suwon Samsung Bluewings

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Chungnam Asan FC

Result: Chungnam Asan FC

48%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 245 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 53% (Average)

Total 1.5 62% (Good)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 65% (Strong)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 59% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)

179 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

107 predictions

Total 1.5 70% (Strong)

191 predictions

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

125 predictions

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

190 predictions

Total 4.5 85% (Strong)

223 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Chungnam Asan FC vs Suwon Samsung Bluewings after full time. The match ended 2-1 in South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2. Pre-match projections pointed to Chungnam Asan FC with a marginal edge at 39.3%.

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) came in as a strong signal and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) appeared as a marginal edge and held up in the final outcome. Both teams to score (48.2%) was not confirmed. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.4% of matches across a sample of 245 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 52.4% in a sample of 63 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.