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31 May 2026 16:30 UTC

MAGALLANES vs DEPORTES IQUIQUE

Final 4:3

Magallanes won Last goal: Magallanes

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Gamalier Guzman — Magallanes
⚽ Facundo Peraza — Magallanes

2nd half

⚽ Álvaro Ramos — Deportes Iquique
⚽ Agustín Venezia — Deportes Iquique
⚽ Matías Osorio — Magallanes
⚽ Dilan Rojas — Deportes Iquique
⚽ Vicente Cabezas — Magallanes

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Draw

Result: Magallanes

48%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

28%

Total 1.5

Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 45% (Average)

Total 3.5 59% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

Total 1.5 56% (Good)

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)

66 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

110 predictions

Total 1.5 25% (Weak)

61 predictions

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

124 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

173 predictions

Total 4.5 85% (Strong)

204 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Magallanes vs Deportes Iquique. The match ended 4-3 in Chile · Primera B. The model leaned toward Draw with a marginal edge (36.8%).

The final result did not match the primary prediction. Market-level signals were less accurate than expected in this specific match profile. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (27.6%) appeared as a low-confidence signal and was not confirmed.

Over 2.5 goals (48%) fell short of the result, both teams to score (48.2%) did not land. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.5% of matches across a sample of 223 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 46.2% in a sample of 39 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

MAGALLANES vs DEPORTES IQUIQUE

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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