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Chile · Primera B

06 Jun 2026 00:00 UTC

SAN LUIS vs SAN MARCOS

Final 1:0

San Luis won Last goal: San Luis

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Fabian Pastenes — San Luis

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 267 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 228 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
161 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
100 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
178 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
209 predictions

Match overview