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Norway · Eliteserien

30 May 2026 14:00 UTC

MOLDE vs SANDEFJORD

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Molde won Last goal: Sandefjord

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fredrik Gulbrandsen — Molde

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Eirik Hestad — Molde
  2. ⚽ Sebastian Holm Mathisen — Sandefjord

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Molde
90-minute result: Molde
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 251 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
172 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
144 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
189 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
144 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
165 predictions

Match overview