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Norway · Eliteserien

29 May 2026 17:00 UTC

AALESUND vs HAMARKAMERATENE

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Hamarkameratene

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vidar Ari Jónsson (own goal) — Aalesund
  2. ⚽ Markus Johnsgaard — Hamarkameratene

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Martin Gjone — Hamarkameratene
  2. ⚽ Marcus Haagensen Reed — Aalesund

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Aalesund
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 245 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 212 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
167 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
184 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
117 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview