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Denmark · 1. Division · 1. Division Relegation Group

30 May 2026 13:00 UTC

AAB vs HB KOEGE

Final 1:0

AaB won Last goal: AaB

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Mads Westergren (own goal) — AaB

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
6:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 191 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
122 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 4.5 24% (Weak)
29 predictions

Match overview