← Back to matches

Denmark · 1. Division · 1. Division Relegation Group

30 May 2026 13:00 UTC

HOBRO vs MIDDELFART

Final 3:2

Hobro won Last goal: Middelfart

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Emil Soegaard Jensen — Hobro
  2. ⚽ Runar Hauge — Hobro
  3. ⚽ Runar Hauge — Hobro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jerailly Wielzen — Middelfart
  2. ⚽ Malthe Boesen — Middelfart

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Hobro
90-minute result: Hobro
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 191 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
157 predictions

Match overview