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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

30 May 2026 12:00 UTC

SCOTLAND vs CURACAO

Final 4:1

Scotland won Last goal: Scotland

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tahith Chong — Curacao
  2. 🟥 Jürgen Locadia (straight red) — Curacao
  3. ⚽ Findlay Curtis — Scotland

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lawrence Shankland — Scotland
  2. ⚽ Lawrence Shankland — Scotland
  3. ⚽ Ryan Christie (penalty) — Scotland

Model predictions were

As expected
35%
1X2
Draw
Result: Scotland
Lucky hit
41%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 289 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
53 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
172 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
202 predictions

Match overview

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