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Finland · Ykkonen · Ykkosliiga

29 May 2026 16:00 UTC

KAEPA vs JAEPS

Final 2:1

KaePa won Last goal: KaePa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pekka Hietalahti — KaePa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Emil Pallas — JaePS
  2. ⚽ Daniel Roekman — KaePa
  3. 🟥 Veeti Manner (straight red) — JaePS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
JaePS
90-minute result: KaePa
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 140 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 111 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
83 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
71 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
90 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
82 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
96 predictions

Match overview