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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

28 May 2026 15:30 UTC

FC JAZZ vs SALPA

Final 1:2

SalPa won Last goal: SalPa

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Tino Kangasaho (straight red) — FC Jazz
  2. ⚽ Ermal Rrustemi — SalPa
  3. ⚽ Joonas Lakkamaeki — FC Jazz
  4. ⚽ Gezim Voca — SalPa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: SalPa
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 12% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 129 completed matches.

1X2 11% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 29 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 11% (Weak)
27 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 1.5 8% (Weak)
13 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
87 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
104 predictions

Match overview