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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

29 May 2026 15:30 UTC

IRAN vs GAMBIA

Final 3:1

Iran won Last goal: Iran

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Omar Colley — Gambia

2nd half

⚽ Aria Yousefi — Iran
⚽ Ramin Rezaeian — Iran
⚽ Mehdi Taremi — Iran

Model predictions were

35%

1X2

Draw

Result: Iran

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

41%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

78%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

17%

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 285 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)

Both teams to score 83% (Strong)

Total 1.5 33% (Weak)

Total 2.5 83% (Strong)

Total 3.5 83% (Strong)

Total 4.5 100% (Strong)

Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)

51 predictions

Both teams to score 39% (Weak)

102 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

168 predictions

Total 2.5 52% (Average)

122 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

171 predictions

Total 4.5 84% (Strong)

198 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Iran vs Gambia. The match ended 3-1 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. The model leaned toward Draw with a low-confidence projection (35%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.5% of matches across a sample of 218 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 83.3% in a sample of 6 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (41.1%) did not land, both teams to score (41.1%) held up in the final outcome.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

IRAN vs GAMBIA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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