← Back to matches

Scotland · Premiership Qualification

25 May 2026 19:00 UTC

ST. MIRREN vs PARTICK THISTLE

Final 1:0

St. Mirren won Last goal: St. Mirren

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marcus Fraser — St. Mirren

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: St. Mirren
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
53%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
62%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
94%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
33%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 50% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 6 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 5 completed matches.

1X2 100% (Strong)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 40% (Weak)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 33% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 100% (Strong)
1 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
4 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
3 predictions
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
4 predictions
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
5 predictions
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
5 predictions

Match overview