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Scotland · Premiership Qualification

15 May 2026 18:45 UTC

PARTICK THISTLE vs DUNFERMLINE

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Partick Thistle won Last goal: Partick Thistle

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Charlie Gilmour — Dunfermline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Logan Chalmers — Partick Thistle
  2. ⚽ Logan Chalmers — Partick Thistle

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
41%
1X2
Partick Thistle
90-minute result: Partick Thistle
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
30%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
94%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 50% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 4 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 3 completed matches.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
3 predictions
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
1 predictions
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
3 predictions
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
3 predictions

Match overview