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Algeria · Ligue Professionnelle 1 · 1. Division

25 May 2026 15:00 UTC

USM KHENCHELA vs USM ALGER

Final 2:1

USM Khenchela won Last goal: USM Alger

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Franck Mbella Thierry Etouga — USM Khenchela
  2. ⚽ Hadji Chekal Affari — USM Khenchela
  3. ⚽ Zakaria Draoui — USM Alger

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
USM Alger
90-minute result: USM Khenchela
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 225 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
148 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
9 predictions

Match overview