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Algeria · Ligue Professionnelle 1 · 1. Division

22 May 2026 17:00 UTC

USM ALGER vs PARADOU AC

Final 4:2

USM Alger won Last goal: USM Alger

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ahmed Khaldi — USM Alger
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Ramdaoui — Paradou AC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Glody Likonza — USM Alger
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Ramdaoui — Paradou AC
  3. ⚽ Riad Benayad — USM Alger
  4. ⚽ Riad Benayad — USM Alger

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
USM Alger
90-minute result: USM Alger
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
146 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
87 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
193 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
207 predictions

Match overview