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Switzerland · Switzerland Cup · Cup

24 May 2026 12:00 UTC

FC STADE LAUSANNE-OUCHY vs FC ST. GALLEN

Final 0:3

FC St. Gallen won Last goal: FC St. Gallen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tom Gaal — FC St. Gallen
  2. 🟥 Lukas Watkowiak (straight red) — FC St. Gallen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lukas Görtler (penalty) — FC St. Gallen
  2. ⚽ Christian Witzig — FC St. Gallen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
FC St. Gallen
90-minute result: FC St. Gallen
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 42 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 41 completed matches.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 67% (Strong)
30 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
14 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
35 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
16 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
30 predictions

Match overview