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Switzerland · Switzerland Cup · Cup

04 Feb 2026 19:15 UTC

FC ST. GALLEN vs FC BASEL 1893

Final 2:1

FC St. Gallen won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Aliou Balde — FC St. Gallen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Giacomo Koloto — FC Basel 1893
  2. ⚽ Carlo Boukhalfa — FC St. Gallen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
56%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC St. Gallen
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 38 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 37 completed matches.

1X2 62% (Good)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
9 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
33 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
12 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
20 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
26 predictions

Match overview