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China · Super League

24 May 2026 11:00 UTC

YUNNAN YUKUN vs QINGDAO WEST COAST

Final 2:3

Qingdao West Coast won Last goal: Yunnan Yukun

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alexandru Ionita — Yunnan Yukun
  2. ⚽ Nelson da Luz — Qingdao West Coast

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Peng Xinli — Qingdao West Coast
  2. ⚽ Nelson da Luz — Qingdao West Coast
  3. ⚽ Oscar Taty Maritu (penalty) — Yunnan Yukun

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Yunnan Yukun
90-minute result: Qingdao West Coast
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 251 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 214 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
157 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
184 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
114 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
182 predictions

Match overview