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China · Super League

23 May 2026 11:35 UTC

BEIJING GUOAN vs HENAN FC

Final 1:2

Henan FC won Last goal: Henan FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dawhan — Beijing Guoan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Fábio Abreu (own goal) — Henan FC
  2. ⚽ Gustavo — Henan FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Henan FC
90-minute result: Henan FC
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 248 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 211 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
154 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 19% (Weak)
31 predictions

Match overview