← Back to matches

Ecuador · Serie A

24 May 2026 20:30 UTC

EMELEC vs CSD MACARA

Final 2:0

Emelec won Last goal: Emelec

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luca Klimowicz — Emelec
  2. ⚽ Luca Klimowicz — Emelec

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Emelec
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 110 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 263 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
84 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
183 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
247 predictions

Match overview