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Ecuador · Serie A

24 May 2026 00:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO CUENCA vs LDU DE QUITO

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: LDU de Quito

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Jorge Ordóñez (penalty) — Deportivo Cuenca
  2. Rodney Redes — LDU de Quito

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 110 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 262 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
84 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
154 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
217 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
246 predictions

Match overview