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Brazil · Brasileirão · Serie A

24 May 2026 00:00 UTC

FLAMENGO vs PALMEIRAS

Final 0:3

Palmeiras won Last goal: Palmeiras

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Jorge Carrascal (straight red) — Flamengo
  2. ⚽ José Manuel López · assist Allan — Palmeiras

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Allan — Palmeiras
  2. ⚽ Paulinho · assist Jefté — Palmeiras

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Palmeiras
90-minute result: Palmeiras
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 404 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 385 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
285 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
197 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
279 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
161 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 4.5 5% (Weak)
20 predictions

Match overview