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Germany · DFB-Pokal · DFB Pokal

23 May 2026 18:00 UTC

BAYERN MUNICH vs VFB STUTTGART

Final 3:0

Bayern Munich won Last goal: Bayern Munich

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Harry Kane — Bayern Munich
  2. ⚽ Harry Kane — Bayern Munich
  3. ⚽ Harry Kane (penalty) — Bayern Munich

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
56%
1X2
Bayern Munich
90-minute result: Bayern Munich
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 61 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 61 completed matches.

1X2 68% (Strong)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 30% (Weak)
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 68% (Strong)
53 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
37 predictions
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
37 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
51 predictions

Match overview