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Germany · DFB-Pokal · DFB Pokal

04 Feb 2026 19:45 UTC

HOLSTEIN KIEL vs VFB STUTTGART

Final 0:3

VfB Stuttgart won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Deniz Undav — VfB Stuttgart
  2. ⚽ Chris Führich — VfB Stuttgart
  3. ⚽ Atakan Karazor — VfB Stuttgart

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
40%
1X2
VfB Stuttgart
90-minute result: VfB Stuttgart
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 75% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 57 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 57 completed matches.

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 69% (Strong)
49 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
24 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
35 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
22 predictions
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
8 predictions

Match overview